Understanding and managing the unknown: The nature of uncertainty in planning

Abbott, J. (2005) Understanding and managing the unknown: The nature of uncertainty in planning. Journal of Planning Education and Research, 24 3: 237-251. doi:10.1177/0739456X04267710

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Author Abbott, J.
Title Understanding and managing the unknown: The nature of uncertainty in planning
Journal name Journal of Planning Education and Research   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0739-456X
1552-6577
Publication date 2005-03-01
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1177/0739456X04267710
Volume 24
Issue 3
Start page 237
End page 251
Total pages 15
Editor Karen Christensen
Place of publication Thousand Oaks, CA, U.S.A.
Publisher Sage Publications
Collection year 2005
Language eng
Subject C1
310103 Urban and Regional Planning
750803 Urban planning
1205 Urban and Regional Planning
Formatted abstract
Individuals, organizations, and urban regions face a complex and uncertain future. Planning is about changing the future and therefore must try to understand what is known and unknown about the future. Planning involves understanding and managing uncertainty - focusing on what is unknown as well as what is known. Uncertainty arises from the environment or planning context - environmental uncertainty - but also from the planning process itself - process uncertainty. This article builds on research and practice to identify dimensions of uncertainty in planning. Understanding these dimensions will assist planners in establishing planning processes and in managing their ongoing dynamics. To be effective, planning needs to push the bounds of possibility, and this will raise uncertainty and the possibility of disagreement and failure.
© 2005 Association of Collegiate Schools of Planning.
Keyword Urban Studies
Uncertainty
Planning
SEQ 2001
Future
Q-Index Code C1

 
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Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 42 times in Thomson Reuters Web of Science Article | Citations
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Created: Wed, 15 Aug 2007, 16:56:27 EST