The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change

Keppel, Gunnar, Mokany, Karel, Wardell-Johnson, Grant W., Phillips, Ben L., Welbergen, Justin A. and Reside, April E. (2015) The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 13 2: 106-112. doi:10.1890/140055

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Author Keppel, Gunnar
Mokany, Karel
Wardell-Johnson, Grant W.
Phillips, Ben L.
Welbergen, Justin A.
Reside, April E.
Title The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change
Journal name Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1540-9309
Publication date 2015-03-01
Year available 2015
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1890/140055
Open Access Status File (Publisher version)
Volume 13
Issue 2
Start page 106
End page 112
Total pages 7
Place of publication Hoboken, United States
Publisher John Wiley & Sons
Language eng
Formatted abstract
Refugia – areas that may facilitate the persistence of species during large-scale, long-term climatic change –are increasingly important for conservation planning. There are many methods for identifying refugia, but the ability to quantify their potential for facilitating species persistence (ie their “capacity”) remains elusive. We propose a flexible framework for prioritizing future refugia, based on their capacity. This framework can be applied through various modeling approaches and consists of three steps: (1) definition of scope, scale, and resolution; (2) identification and quantification; and (3) prioritization for conservation. Capacity is quantified by multiple indicators, including environmental stability, microclimatic heterogeneity, size, and accessibility of the refugium. Using an integrated, semi-mechanistic modeling technique, we illustrate how this approach can be implemented to identify refugia for the plant diversity of Tasmania, Australia. The highest-capacity climate-change refugia were found primarily in cool, wet, and topographically complex environments, several of which we identify as high priorities for biodiversity conservation and management.
Keyword Ecology
Environmental Sciences
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Provisional Code
Institutional Status Non-UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collection: School of Biological Sciences Publications
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Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 46 times in Thomson Reuters Web of Science Article | Citations
Scopus Citation Count Cited 45 times in Scopus Article | Citations
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