Reconciling development and conservation under coastal squeeze from rising sea-level

Mills, Morena, Leon, Javier X., Saunders, Megan I., Bell, Justine, Liu, Yan, O’Mara, Julian, Lovelock, Catherine E., Mumby, Peter J., Phinn, Stuart, Possingham, Hugh P., Tulloch, Vigitskaia, Mutafoglu, Konar, Morrison, Tiffany, Callaghan, David, Baldock, Tom, Klein, Carissa and Hoegh-Guldberg, Ove (2015) Reconciling development and conservation under coastal squeeze from rising sea-level. Conservation Letters, 9 5: 361-368. doi:10.1111/conl.12213

Author Mills, Morena
Leon, Javier X.
Saunders, Megan I.
Bell, Justine
Liu, Yan
O’Mara, Julian
Lovelock, Catherine E.
Mumby, Peter J.
Phinn, Stuart
Possingham, Hugh P.
Tulloch, Vigitskaia
Mutafoglu, Konar
Morrison, Tiffany
Callaghan, David
Baldock, Tom
Klein, Carissa
Hoegh-Guldberg, Ove
Title Reconciling development and conservation under coastal squeeze from rising sea-level
Journal name Conservation Letters   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1755-263X
Publication date 2015-12-17
Year available 2015
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1111/conl.12213
Open Access Status DOI
Volume 9
Issue 5
Start page 361
End page 368
Total pages 8
Place of publication Chichester, West Sussex United Kingdom
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell Publishing
Language eng
Abstract Among the biggest global challenges for policymakers is the development of land use policies robust to climate change impacts. While diverse fields can inform adaptation, integrated social-ecological assessment of the multiple adaptation options are rare and cannot be easily applied. Here, we build on past studies by undertaking an integrated fine scale and strategic allocation of sea level rise (SLR) adaptation options that can direct policy making. We use models of probabilistic SLR inundation, urban growth, and sub- and intertidal ecosystem migration, to investigate the impacts of different SLR adaptation strategies, and how these can be allocated to best achieve both development and conservation goals. Coastal adaptation will involve trade-offs among development and conservation objectives and these will vary based on the extent to which sea levels rise. There will be trade-offs between conservation objectives regardless of the adaptation options chosen, however, retreat does provide opportunities for enabling the expansion of coastal ecosystems inland. Local governments can save billions of dollars and minimize political conflict between conservation and development goals through integrated strategic spatial planning. Our planning approach both informs policy and is transferable to other coastal regions faced with a rising sea.
Keyword Climate change
Priority setting
Managed realignment
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Provisional Code
Grant ID FS100100024
Institutional Status UQ

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Created: Fri, 19 Feb 2016, 01:48:18 EST by Dr Yan Liu on behalf of School of Geography, Planning & Env Management