Projecting the impact of climate change on the transmission of Ross River virus: Methodological challenges and research needs

Yu, W., Dale, P., Turner, L. and Tong, S. (2014) Projecting the impact of climate change on the transmission of Ross River virus: Methodological challenges and research needs. Epidemiology and Infection, 142 10: 2013-2023. doi:10.1017/S0950268814000399


Author Yu, W.
Dale, P.
Turner, L.
Tong, S.
Title Projecting the impact of climate change on the transmission of Ross River virus: Methodological challenges and research needs
Journal name Epidemiology and Infection   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1469-4409
0950-2688
Publication date 2014-03-10
Year available 2014
Sub-type Critical review of research, literature review, critical commentary
DOI 10.1017/S0950268814000399
Open Access Status Not Open Access
Volume 142
Issue 10
Start page 2013
End page 2023
Total pages 11
Place of publication Cambridge, United Kingdom
Publisher Cambridge University Press
Language eng
Abstract Ross River virus (RRV) is the most common vector-borne disease in Australia. It is vitally important to make appropriate projections on the future spread of RRV under various climate change scenarios because such information is essential for policy-makers to identify vulnerable communities and to better manage RRV epidemics. However, there are many methodological challenges in projecting the impact of climate change on the transmission of RRV disease. This study critically examined the methodological issues and proposed possible solutions. A literature search was conducted between January and October 2012, using the electronic databases Medline, Web of Science and PubMed. Nineteen relevant papers were identified. These studies demonstrate that key challenges for projecting future climate change on RRV disease include: (1) a complex ecology (e.g. many mosquito vectors, immunity, heterogeneous in both time and space); (2) unclear interactions between social and environmental factors; and (3) uncertainty in climate change modelling and socioeconomic development scenarios. Future risk assessments of climate change will ultimately need to better understand the ecology of RRV disease and to integrate climate change scenarios with local socioeconomic and environmental factors, in order to develop effective adaptation strategies to prevent or reduce RRV transmission.
Keyword Climate change
Projection
Rainfall
Ross River virus
Temperature
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Provisional Code
Institutional Status Non-UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Critical review of research, literature review, critical commentary
Collection: School of Public Health Publications
 
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