Modelling the hydrological impacts of rural land use change

McIntyre, Neil, Ballard, Caroline, Bruen, Michael, Bulygina, Nataliya, Buytaert, Wouter, Cluckie, Ian, Dunn, Sarah, Ehret, Uwe, Ewen, John, Gelfan, Alexander, Hess, Tim, Hughes, Denis, Jackson, Bethanna, Kjeldsen, Thomas R., Merz, Ralf, Park, Jong-Sook, O'Connell, Enda, O'Donnell, Greg, Oudin, Ludovic, Todini, Ezio, Wagener, Thorsten and Wheater, Howard (2014) Modelling the hydrological impacts of rural land use change. Hydrology Research, 45 6: 737-754. doi:10.2166/nh.2013.145


Author McIntyre, Neil
Ballard, Caroline
Bruen, Michael
Bulygina, Nataliya
Buytaert, Wouter
Cluckie, Ian
Dunn, Sarah
Ehret, Uwe
Ewen, John
Gelfan, Alexander
Hess, Tim
Hughes, Denis
Jackson, Bethanna
Kjeldsen, Thomas R.
Merz, Ralf
Park, Jong-Sook
O'Connell, Enda
O'Donnell, Greg
Oudin, Ludovic
Todini, Ezio
Wagener, Thorsten
Wheater, Howard
Title Modelling the hydrological impacts of rural land use change
Journal name Hydrology Research   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0029-1277
1998-9563
Publication date 2014-01-01
Year available 2014
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.2166/nh.2013.145
Volume 45
Issue 6
Start page 737
End page 754
Total pages 18
Place of publication London United Kingdom
Publisher I W A Publishing
Collection year 2015
Language eng
Abstract The potential role of rural land use in mitigating flood risk and protecting water supplies continues to be of great interest to regulators and planners. The ability of hydrologists to quantify the impact of rural land use change on the water cycle is however limited and we are not able to provide consistently reliable evidence to support planning and policy decisions. This shortcoming stems mainly from lack of data, but also from lack of modelling methods and tools. Numerous research projects over the last few years have been attempting to address the underlying challenges. This paper describes these challenges, significant areas of progress and modelling innovations, and proposes priorities for further research. The paper is organised into five inter-related subtopics: (1) evidence-based modelling; (2) upscaling to maximise the use of process knowledge and physics-based models; (3) representing hydrological connectivity in models; (4) uncertainty analysis; and (5) integrated catchment modelling for ecosystem service management. It is concluded that there is room for further advances in hydrological data analysis, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis methods and modelling frameworks, but progress will also depend on continuing and strengthened commitment to long-term monitoring and inter-disciplinarity in defining and delivering land use impacts research.
Keyword Floods
Land cover
Land management
Models
Non-stationarity
Scenarios
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Centre for Water in the Minerals Industry
Official 2015 Collection
 
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