A multi-scaled analysis of the effect of climate, commodity prices and risk on the livelihoods of Mongolian pastoralists

Addison, Jane and Brown C. (2014) A multi-scaled analysis of the effect of climate, commodity prices and risk on the livelihoods of Mongolian pastoralists. Journal of Arid Environments, 109 54-64. doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2014.05.010


Author Addison, Jane
Brown C.
Title A multi-scaled analysis of the effect of climate, commodity prices and risk on the livelihoods of Mongolian pastoralists
Journal name Journal of Arid Environments   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1095-922X
0140-1963
Publication date 2014-10-01
Year available 2014
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2014.05.010
Open Access Status Not Open Access
Volume 109
Start page 54
End page 64
Total pages 11
Place of publication London, United Kingdom
Publisher Academic Press
Language eng
Abstract Studies of common pool resources tend to neglect how aspects of the resource system interact with the external social, physical and institutional environment. We test the hypothesis that select market and non-market based options available to Mongolian Gobi Desert pastoralists in the current instiutional setting are not sufficient to ameliorate the risks of resource gaps caused by climatic and commodity price variability. An empirical decision tree was used to model interactions between climatic variability, commodity price volatility and economic returns. Results from the model were then discussed in light of a critical, qualitative analysis of risk management strategies and capabilities of pastoralists. Returns to pastoralists were dependent upon climate and commodity prices, as expected, but pastoralist decision-making could influence these returns. Pastoralist decision-making was further influenced by multi-scaled social, economic and climatic factors. Existing market-based options available to Mongolian Gobi Desert pastoralists reduced price, but not production, risks in this largely subsistent system. A focuson improving market-based options for reducing risk is likely to provide more benefits to livelihoods and landscape condition than modifying institutional settings governing access to the forage resource.
Keyword Decision tree
Dryland
Policy
Social-ecological
Volatility
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: School of Agriculture and Food Sciences
Official 2015 Collection
 
Versions
Version Filter Type
Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 5 times in Thomson Reuters Web of Science Article | Citations
Scopus Citation Count Cited 5 times in Scopus Article | Citations
Google Scholar Search Google Scholar
Created: Tue, 01 Jul 2014, 12:58:50 EST by System User on behalf of School of Agriculture and Food Sciences