The dynamics of climate-induced range shifting; perspectives from simulation modelling

Mustin, Karen, Benton, Tim G., Dytham, Calvin and Travis, Justin M. J. (2009) The dynamics of climate-induced range shifting; perspectives from simulation modelling. Oikos, 118 1: 131-137. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0706.2008.17025.x


Author Mustin, Karen
Benton, Tim G.
Dytham, Calvin
Travis, Justin M. J.
Title The dynamics of climate-induced range shifting; perspectives from simulation modelling
Journal name Oikos   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0030-1299
1600-0706
Publication date 2009-01-01
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2008.17025.x
Volume 118
Issue 1
Start page 131
End page 137
Total pages 7
Place of publication Malden, MA, United States
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell
Language eng
Abstract Predicted future climate change will alter species' distributions as they attempt to track the most suitable 'climate window'. Climate envelope models indicate the direction of likely range changes but do not incorporate population dynamics, therefore observed responses may differ greatly from these projections. We use simulation modelling to explore the consequences of a period of environmental change for a species structured across an environmental gradient. Results indicate that a species' range may lag behind its climate envelope and demonstrate that the rate of movement of a range can accelerate during a period of climate change. We conclude that the inclusion of both population dynamics and spatial environmental variability is vital to develop models that can both predict, and be used to manage, the impact of changing climate on species' biogeography.
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Provisional Code
Institutional Status Non-UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collection: School of Biological Sciences Publications
 
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