Adapting to the impacts of global change on an artisanal coral reef fishery

Chollett, Iliana, Canty, Steven W. J., Box, Stephen J. and Mumby, Peter J. (2014) Adapting to the impacts of global change on an artisanal coral reef fishery. Ecological Economics, 102 118-125. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.03.010

Author Chollett, Iliana
Canty, Steven W. J.
Box, Stephen J.
Mumby, Peter J.
Title Adapting to the impacts of global change on an artisanal coral reef fishery
Journal name Ecological Economics   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0921-8009
Publication date 2014-06-01
Year available 2014
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.03.010
Open Access Status Not yet assessed
Volume 102
Start page 118
End page 125
Total pages 8
Place of publication Amsterdam, Netherlands
Publisher Elsevier
Language eng
Subject 2300 Environmental Science
Abstract When assessing future changes in fishing, research has focused on changes in the availability of the resource. Fishers' behaviour, however, also defines fishing activity, and is susceptible not only to changes in weather but also to changes in the economy, which can be faster and more ubiquitous. Using a novel modelling approach and spatially explicit predictors we identified the current drivers of artisanal fishing activity and predicted how it is likely to change in 2025 and 2035 under two climate and two economic scenarios. The model is effective at explaining the activity of fishers (AUC = 0.84) and suggests that economic variables overwhelm the importance of climate variables in influencing the decisions of fishers in our case study area (Utila, Honduras). Although future changes in the overall incidence of fishing activity are modest, decreases in the number of accessible fishing grounds with projected increases in fuel prices will increase localised fishing effort depleting fish resources near the port. Compelling adaptation strategies in the area require the intervention of the market chain to make the sale price of fish more responsive to fuel price fluctuations and changes in fishing behaviour to improve fuel efficiency, including the revival of traditional ways of fishing.
Keyword Adaptation
Climate change
Economic scenarios
Emission scenarios
Fuel price
Small-scale fisheries
Wave exposure
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Official 2015 Collection
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