Climate change and the resurgence of malaria in the East African highlands

Hay S.I., Cox J., Rogers D.J., Randolph S.E., Stern D.I., Shanks G.D., Myers M.F. and Snow R.W. (2002) Climate change and the resurgence of malaria in the East African highlands. Nature, 415 6874: 905-909. doi:10.1038/415905a

Author Hay S.I.
Cox J.
Rogers D.J.
Randolph S.E.
Stern D.I.
Shanks G.D.
Myers M.F.
Snow R.W.
Title Climate change and the resurgence of malaria in the East African highlands
Journal name Nature   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0028-0836
Publication date 2002-02-21
Year available 2005
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1038/415905a
Open Access Status Not yet assessed
Volume 415
Issue 6874
Start page 905
End page 909
Total pages 5
Place of publication LONDON
Language eng
Subject 1000 General
Abstract The public health and economic consequences of Plasmodium falciparum malaria are once again regarded as priorities for global development. There has been much speculation on whether anthropogenic climate change is exacerbating the malaria problem, especially in areas of high altitude where P. falciparum transmission is limited by low temperature(1-4). The International Panel on Climate Change has concluded that there is likely to be a net extension in the distribution of malaria and an increase in incidence within this range(5). We investigated long-term meteorological trends in four high-altitude sites in East Africa, where increases in malaria have been reported in the past two decades. Here we show that temperature, rainfall, vapour pressure and the number of months suitable for P. falciparum transmission have not changed significantly during the past century or during the period of reported malaria resurgence. A high degree of temporal and spatial variation in the climate of East Africa suggests further that claimed associations between local malaria resurgences and regional changes in climate are overly simplistic.
Keyword Parasitology
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Provisional Code
Grant ID 069045
Institutional Status Unknown

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collection: Scopus Import - Archived
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Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 258 times in Thomson Reuters Web of Science Article | Citations
Scopus Citation Count Cited 281 times in Scopus Article | Citations
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