Predicting evolutionary responses to climate change in the sea

Munday, Philip L., Warner, Robert R., Monro, Keyne, Pandolfi, John M. and Marshall, Dustin J. (2013) Predicting evolutionary responses to climate change in the sea. Ecology Letters, 16 12: 1488-1500. doi:10.1111/ele.12185


Author Munday, Philip L.
Warner, Robert R.
Monro, Keyne
Pandolfi, John M.
Marshall, Dustin J.
Title Predicting evolutionary responses to climate change in the sea
Journal name Ecology Letters   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1461-023X
1461-0248
Publication date 2013-01-01
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1111/ele.12185
Volume 16
Issue 12
Start page 1488
End page 1500
Total pages 13
Place of publication Chichester, West Sussex, United Kingdom
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell
Language eng
Abstract An increasing number of short-term experimental studies show significant effects of projected ocean warming and ocean acidification on the performance on marine organisms. Yet, it remains unclear if we can reliably predict the impact of climate change on marine populations and ecosystems, because we lack sufficient understanding of the capacity for marine organisms to adapt to rapid climate change. In this review, we emphasise why an evolutionary perspective is crucial to understanding climate change impacts in the sea and examine the approaches that may be useful for addressing this challenge. We first consider what the geological record and present-day analogues of future climate conditions can tell us about the potential for adaptation to climate change. We also examine evidence that phenotypic plasticity may assist marine species to persist in a rapidly changing climate. We then outline the various experimental approaches that can be used to estimate evolutionary potential, focusing on molecular tools, quantitative genetics, and experimental evolution, and we describe the benefits of combining different approaches to gain a deeper understanding of evolutionary potential. Our goal is to provide a platform for future research addressing the evolutionary potential for marine organisms to cope with climate change.
Keyword Adaptation
Evolutionary potential
Genetic variation
Global warming
Marine biodiversity
Ocean acidification
Phenotypic plasticity
Quantitative genetics
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Official 2014 Collection
School of Biological Sciences Publications
 
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