Encouraging Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasts by Farmers

McCrea, Rod, Dalgleish, Len and Coventry, Will (2005) Encouraging Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasts by Farmers. International Journal of Climatology, 25 8: 1127-1137. doi:10.1002/joc.1164

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Author McCrea, Rod
Dalgleish, Len
Coventry, Will
Title Encouraging Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasts by Farmers
Journal name International Journal of Climatology   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1097-0088
Publication date 2005-01-01
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1002/joc.1164
Open Access Status File (Author Post-print)
Volume 25
Issue 8
Start page 1127
End page 1137
Total pages 11
Editor G. R. MacGregor
Place of publication United Kingdom
Publisher Wiley
Collection year 2005
Language eng
Subject 370400 Human Geography
370402 Social and Cultural Geography
370401 Urban and Regional Studies
260602 Climatology (incl. Palaeoclimatology)
Abstract What encourages use of seasonal climate forecasts? Considerable effort is being applied in developing seasonal climate forecasts and demonstrating the potential benefits available to farmers from using seasonal climate forecasts. This study examines three factors underlying the use of seasonal climate forecasts by farmers: the level of forecast understanding by farmers, the format presentation of the forecasts, and the attitude of farmers towards the usefulness of forecasts as indicators of future rainfall. Using judgement analysis, the use of forecasts in cropping decisions was determined for 73 Australian farmers. Then a moderated regression analysis was used to predict forecast use from the three underlying factors. The study found that a good understanding of the forecast was more important than the forecast format in predicting its use. However, this main effect of good understanding on higher use was qualified by a three-way interaction, such that seasonal climate forecasts and the forecasts were presented in a frequency format. Thus, the study found all three factors were important in predicting the use of seasonal climate forecasts by farmers. However, relatively little is known about farmer attitudes toward the usefulness of seasonal climate forecasts and how these attitudes arise, and further research is recommended in these areas.
Keyword seasonal climate forecast use
judgement analysis
southern Queensland
Q-Index Code C1
Additional Notes Originally published as McCrea, Rod and Dalgleish, Len and Coventry, Will (2005) Encouraging Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasts by Farmers. International Journal of Climatology 25:1127-1137. doi: 10.1002/joc.1164. Copyright 2005 Wiley InterScience. All rights reserved. The original publication is available at http://www.interscience.wiley.com.

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Created: Fri, 12 May 2006, 10:00:00 EST by Roderick McCrea on behalf of Faculty Of Nat Resources, Agric & Veterinary Sc