Observed and unobserved correlation between crash avoidance manoeuvers and crash severity

Kaplan, Sigal and Prato, Carlo Giacomo (2015) Observed and unobserved correlation between crash avoidance manoeuvers and crash severity. International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, . doi:10.1080/17457300.2015.1056806


Author Kaplan, Sigal
Prato, Carlo Giacomo
Title Observed and unobserved correlation between crash avoidance manoeuvers and crash severity
Journal name International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1745-7319
1745-7300
Publication date 2015
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1080/17457300.2015.1056806
Open Access Status Not Open Access
Total pages 14
Place of publication Abingdon, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom
Publisher Taylor and Francis
Collection year 2016
Language eng
Abstract Understanding drivers’ responses to critical events, analyzing drivers’ abilities to perform corrective manoeuvers, and investigating the correlation between these manoeuvers and crash severity provide the opportunity of increasing the knowledge about how to avoid crash occurrence or at least mitigate crash severity. We extend existing research on the determinants of engaging in crash avoidance manoeuvers by considering that observable and unobservable factors relate to both the selection of corrective manoeuvers and the severity outcome. Accordingly, we propose a joint multinomial-logit ordered-probit model of single-vehicle crashes extracted from the NASS GES database for the years 2005–2009. Results show (1) the existence of unobserved correlation between crash avoidance manoeuvers and crash severity, and (2) the link between drivers’ attributes, risky driving behaviour, road characteristics, and environmental conditions, with the propensity to engage in crash avoidance manoeuvers and experience severe crash outcomes.
Keyword Crash avoidance manoeuvers
Crash severity
Multinomial-logit ordered-probit model
Observed correlation
Unobserved correlation
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Provisional Code
Institutional Status Non-UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: School of Civil Engineering Publications
Non HERDC
 
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Created: Thu, 18 Feb 2016, 21:41:26 EST by Jeannette Watson on behalf of Learning and Research Services (UQ Library)