The vulnerability of Indo-Pacific mangrove forests to sea-level rise

Lovelock, Catherine E., Cahoon, Donald R., Friess, Daniel A., Guntenspergen, Glenn R., Krauss, Ken W., Reef, Ruth, Rogers, Kerrylee, Saunders, Megan L., Sidik, Frida, Swales, Andrew, Saintilan, Neil, Thuyen, Le Xuan and Triet, Tran (2015) The vulnerability of Indo-Pacific mangrove forests to sea-level rise. Nature, 526 7574: 559-563. doi:10.1038/nature15538

Author Lovelock, Catherine E.
Cahoon, Donald R.
Friess, Daniel A.
Guntenspergen, Glenn R.
Krauss, Ken W.
Reef, Ruth
Rogers, Kerrylee
Saunders, Megan L.
Sidik, Frida
Swales, Andrew
Saintilan, Neil
Thuyen, Le Xuan
Triet, Tran
Title The vulnerability of Indo-Pacific mangrove forests to sea-level rise
Journal name Nature   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1476-4687
Publication date 2015-10-22
Year available 2015
Sub-type Letter to editor, brief commentary or brief communication
DOI 10.1038/nature15538
Open Access Status Not Open Access
Volume 526
Issue 7574
Start page 559
End page 563
Total pages 5
Place of publication London, United Kingdom
Publisher Nature Publishing Group
Collection year 2016
Language eng
Formatted abstract
Sea-level rise can threaten the long-term sustainability of coastal communities and valuable ecosystems such as coral reefs, salt marshes and mangroves. Mangrove forests have the capacity to keep pace with sea-level rise and to avoid inundation through vertical accretion of sediments, which allows them to maintain wetland soil elevations suitable for plant growth. The Indo-Pacific region holds most of the world’s mangrove forests, but sediment delivery in this region is declining, owing to anthropogenic activities such as damming of rivers. This decline is of particular concern because the Indo-Pacific region is expected to have variable, but high, rates of future sea-level rise. Here we analyse recent trends in mangrove surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific region using data from a network of surface elevation table instruments. We find that sediment availability can enable mangrove forests to maintain rates of soil-surface elevation gain that match or exceed that of sea-level rise, but for 69 per cent of our study sites the current rate of sea-level rise exceeded the soil surface elevation gain. We also present a model based on our field data, which suggests that mangrove forests at sites with low tidal range and low sediment supply could be submerged as early as 2070.
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Letter to editor, brief commentary or brief communication
Collections: Global Change Institute Publications
Official 2016 Collection
School of Biological Sciences Publications
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Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 18 times in Thomson Reuters Web of Science Article | Citations
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