Completion of vital transition and changing migration in Indonesia: Empirical results and projection scenarios

Ananta, Aris and Muhidin, Salahudin (2005) Completion of vital transition and changing migration in Indonesia: Empirical results and projection scenarios. Population Review: a journal of Asian demography, 44 1: 36-55.


Author Ananta, Aris
Muhidin, Salahudin
Title Completion of vital transition and changing migration in Indonesia: Empirical results and projection scenarios
Journal name Population Review: a journal of Asian demography   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0032-471X
Publication date 2005
Sub-type Critical review of research, literature review, critical commentary
Volume 44
Issue 1
Start page 36
End page 55
Total pages 20
Place of publication La Jolla, CA, U.S.A.
Publisher Population Review
Language eng
Subject 1603 Demography
1604 Human Geography
Abstract This paper describes population dynamics in Indonesia, with a focus on the possible relationship between declining fertility and mortality trends on one hand and changing levels of internal migration on the other. The high variability in the levels of fertility, mortality and migration among Indonesian provinces provides a rich opportunity to perform a statistical analysis on the possible relationship between these demographic components. The analysis utilizes data from the 1980 and 1990 Indonesia population censuses, and the 1995 intercensal population survey with province as the unit of analysis. The result of this study provides important inputs to improve population projection, particularly for Indonesia, by going one step beyond conventional migration scenarios where little attention is given to the possible correlation with fertility and mortality. More work should be done to further examine the possible relationship between fertility, mortality and migration, particularly over the next 30 years when fertility in all provinces will have declined to below the replacement level.
Keyword Demographic transition
Fertility
Indonesia
Migration
Mortality
Population projection
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Provisional Code
Institutional Status Unknown

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Critical review of research, literature review, critical commentary
Collections: Excellence in Research Australia (ERA) - Collection
School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management Publications
 
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Created: Thu, 07 Sep 2006, 22:42:33 EST