Population size and civil conflict risk: is there a causal link?

Brückner, Markus (2010) Population size and civil conflict risk: is there a causal link?. Economic Journal, 120 544: 535-550. doi:10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02352.x

Author Brückner, Markus
Title Population size and civil conflict risk: is there a causal link?
Journal name Economic Journal   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0013-0133
Publication date 2010-05
Year available 2010
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02352.x
Open Access Status
Volume 120
Issue 544
Start page 535
End page 550
Total pages 16
Place of publication Chichester, West Sussex, United Kingdom
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell Publishing
Language eng
Abstract Does an expansion of the population size expose nation states to a higher risk of suffering from civil conflict? Obtaining empirical evidence for a causal relationship is difficult due to reverse effects and omitted variable bias. This article addresses causality issues by using randomly occurring drought as an instrumental variable to generate exogenous variation in population size for a panel of 37 Sub-Saharan countries over the period 1981–2004. Instrumental variable estimates yield that a 5% increase in population size raises the risk of civil conflict by around six percentage points.
Keyword Civil society
Social conflict
Sub-Saharan Africa
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Provisional Code
Institutional Status Non-UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Non HERDC
School of Economics Publications
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Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 15 times in Thomson Reuters Web of Science Article | Citations
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Created: Thu, 05 Feb 2015, 17:29:56 EST by Alys Hohnen on behalf of School of Economics