Reply to 'Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature: a re-analysis'

Cook, John, Nuccitelli, Dana, Painting, Rob, Honeycutt, Rob, Skuce, Andrew, Jacobs, Peter, Green, Sarah A., Lewandowsky, Stephan, Richardson, Mark and Way, Robert G. (2014) Reply to 'Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature: a re-analysis'. Energy Policy, 73 706-708. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2014.06.002


Author Cook, John
Nuccitelli, Dana
Painting, Rob
Honeycutt, Rob
Skuce, Andrew
Jacobs, Peter
Green, Sarah A.
Lewandowsky, Stephan
Richardson, Mark
Way, Robert G.
Title Reply to 'Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature: a re-analysis'
Journal name Energy Policy   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0301-4215
1873-6777
Publication date 2014
Sub-type Critical review of research, literature review, critical commentary
DOI 10.1016/j.enpol.2014.06.002
Open Access Status
Volume 73
Start page 706
End page 708
Total pages 3
Place of publication London, United Kingdom
Publisher Elsevier
Collection year 2015
Language eng
Formatted abstract
Cook et al. (2013) (C13) found that 97% of relevant climate papers endorse anthropogenic global warming (AGW), consistent with previous independent studies. Tol (in press) (T14) agrees that the scientific literature 'overwhelmingly supports' AGW, but disputes C13's methods. We show that T14's claims of a slightly lower consensus result from a basic calculation error that manufactures approximately 300 nonexistent rejection papers. T14's claimed impact on consensus due to the reconciliation process is of the wrong sign, with reconciliation resulting in a slight increase (<0.2%) in the consensus percentage. Allegations of data inconsistency are based on statistics unrelated to consensus. Running the same tests using appropriate consensus statistics shows no evidence of inconsistency. We confirm that the consensus is robust at 97±1%.
Keyword Scientific consensus
Global climate change
Anthropogenic global warming
Q-Index Code CX
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Critical review of research, literature review, critical commentary
Collections: Global Change Institute Publications
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Created: Tue, 20 Jan 2015, 10:11:16 EST by Anthony Yeates on behalf of Global Change Institute