Scientists' views about attribution of global warming

Verheggen, Bart, Strengers, Bart, Cook, John, van Dorland, Rob, Vringer, Kees, Peters, Jeroen, Visser, Hans and Meyer, L.eo (2014) Scientists' views about attribution of global warming. Environmental Science and Technology, 48 16: 8963-8971. doi:10.1021/es501998e

Author Verheggen, Bart
Strengers, Bart
Cook, John
van Dorland, Rob
Vringer, Kees
Peters, Jeroen
Visser, Hans
Meyer, L.eo
Title Scientists' views about attribution of global warming
Journal name Environmental Science and Technology   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0013-936X
Publication date 2014-08-19
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1021/es501998e
Open Access Status
Volume 48
Issue 16
Start page 8963
End page 8971
Total pages 9
Place of publication Washington, DC United States
Publisher American Chemical Society
Collection year 2015
Language eng
Abstract Results are presented from a survey held among 1868 scientists studying various aspects of climate change, including physical climate, climate impacts, and mitigation. The survey was unique in its size, broadness and level of detail. Consistent with other research, we found that, as the level of expertise in climate science grew, so too did the level of agreement on anthropogenic causation. 90% of respondents with more than 10 climate-related peer-reviewed publications (about half of all respondents), explicitly agreed with anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs) being the dominant driver of recent global warming. The respondents' quantitative estimate of the GHG contribution appeared to strongly depend on their judgment or knowledge of the cooling effect of aerosols. The phrasing of the IPCC attribution statement in its fourth assessment report (AR4)-providing a lower limit for the isolated GHG contribution-may have led to an underestimation of the GHG influence on recent warming. The phrasing was improved in AR5. We also report on the respondents' views on other factors contributing to global warming; of these Land Use and Land Cover Change (LULCC) was considered the most important. Respondents who characterized human influence on climate as insignificant, reported having had the most frequent media coverage regarding their views on climate change.
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Global Change Institute Publications
Official 2015 Collection
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Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 6 times in Thomson Reuters Web of Science Article | Citations
Scopus Citation Count Cited 9 times in Scopus Article | Citations
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