Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss

Warren, R., VanDerWal, J., Price, J., Welbergen, J. A., Atkinson, I., Ramirez-Villegas, J., Osborn, T. J., Jarvis, A., Shoo, L. P., Williams, S. E. and Lowe, J. (2013) Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss. Nature Climate Change, 3 7: 678-682. doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE1887


Author Warren, R.
VanDerWal, J.
Price, J.
Welbergen, J. A.
Atkinson, I.
Ramirez-Villegas, J.
Osborn, T. J.
Jarvis, A.
Shoo, L. P.
Williams, S. E.
Lowe, J.
Title Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss
Journal name Nature Climate Change   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 1758-678X
1758-6798
Publication date 2013-07
Year available 2013
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1038/NCLIMATE1887
Volume 3
Issue 7
Start page 678
End page 682
Total pages 5
Place of publication London, United Kingdom
Publisher Nature Publishing Group
Collection year 2014
Language eng
Formatted abstract
Climate change is expected to have significant influences on terrestrial biodiversity at all system levels, including species-level reductions in range size and abundance, especially amongst endemic species1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. However, little is known about how mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions could reduce biodiversity impacts, particularly amongst common and widespread species. Our global analysis of future climatic range change of common and widespread species shows that without mitigation, 57±6% of plants and 34±7% of animals are likely to lose ≥50% of their present climatic range by the 2080s. With mitigation, however, losses are reduced by 60% if emissions peak in 2016 or 40% if emissions peak in 2030. Thus, our analyses indicate that without mitigation, large range contractions can be expected even amongst common and widespread species, amounting to a substantial global reduction in biodiversity and ecosystem services by the end of this century. Prompt and stringent mitigation, on the other hand, could substantially reduce range losses and buy up to four decades for climate change adaptation.
Keyword Species Distributions
Range Shifts
Extinctions
Projections
Hotspots
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Official 2014 Collection
School of Biological Sciences Publications
 
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