Conservation policies and planning under climate change

Strange, Niels, Thorsena, Bo Jellesmark, Bladt, Jesper, Wilson, Kerrie A. and Rahbek, Carsten (2011) Conservation policies and planning under climate change. Biological Conservation, 144 12: 2968-2977. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2011.08.022


Author Strange, Niels
Thorsena, Bo Jellesmark
Bladt, Jesper
Wilson, Kerrie A.
Rahbek, Carsten
Title Conservation policies and planning under climate change
Journal name Biological Conservation   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0006-3207
1873-2917
Publication date 2011-12-01
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1016/j.biocon.2011.08.022
Volume 144
Issue 12
Start page 2968
End page 2977
Total pages 10
Place of publication Amsterdam, Netherlands
Publisher Elsevier
Collection year 2012
Language eng
Abstract Biodiversity conservation policies focus on securing the survival of species and habitats according to their current distribution. This basic premise may be inappropriate for halting biodiversity decline under the dynamic changes caused by climate change. This study explores a dynamic spatial conservation prioritization problem where climate change gradually changes the future habitat suitability of a site' current species. This has implications for survival probability, as well as for species that potentially immigrate to the site. The problem is explored using a set of heuristics for both of two policy objectives focusing on (1) the protection on current (native) species, and (2) all species, including immigrating species. The trade-offs between the protection of native species versus all species is illustrated. The study shows that the development of prediction models of future species distributions as the basis of decision rules can be crucial for ensuring the effectiveness of conservation plans. Finally, it is discussed how more adaptive strategies, that allow for the redirection of resources from protected sites to privately-owned sites, may increase the effectiveness of the conservation networks. Climate change induced shifts in the suitability of habitats for species may increase the value of such adaptive strategies, the benefit decreasing with increasing migration probabilities and species distribution dynamics.
Keyword Climate change
Dynamic
Policy
Reserve selection
Uncertainty
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Official 2012 Collection
School of Biological Sciences Publications
 
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Created: Thu, 08 Dec 2011, 02:17:31 EST by Gail Walter on behalf of School of Biological Sciences