Climate change, uncertainty, and adaptation: The case of irrigated agriculture in the Murray-Darling Basin in Australia

Quiggin, John, Adamson, David, Chambers, Sarah and Schrobback, Peggy (2010) Climate change, uncertainty, and adaptation: The case of irrigated agriculture in the Murray-Darling Basin in Australia. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics-Revue Canadienne D Agroeconomie, 58 4: 531-554. doi:10.1111/j.1744-7976.2010.01200.x


Author Quiggin, John
Adamson, David
Chambers, Sarah
Schrobback, Peggy
Title Climate change, uncertainty, and adaptation: The case of irrigated agriculture in the Murray-Darling Basin in Australia
Journal name Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics-Revue Canadienne D Agroeconomie   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0008-3976; 744-7976
Publication date 2010-12
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1111/j.1744-7976.2010.01200.x
Volume 58
Issue 4
Start page 531
End page 554
Total pages 24
Place of publication Malden, Mass. U.S.A
Publisher Blackwell
Collection year 2011
Language eng
Formatted abstract
Climate change is likely to have substantial effects on irrigated agriculture. Extreme climate events, such as droughts, are likely to become more common. These patterns are evident in median projections of climate change for the Murray-Darling Basin in Australia. Understanding climate change effects on returns from irrigation involves explicit representation of spatial changes in natural stocks (i.e., water supply) and their temporal variability (i.e., frequency of drought states of nature) and the active management responses to capital stocks represented by mitigation and alternative adaptation strategies by state of nature. A change in the frequency of drought will induce a change in the allocation of land and water between productive activities. In this paper, a simulation model of state-contingent production is used to analyze the effects of climate change adaptation and mitigation. In the absence of mitigation, climate change will have severe adverse effects on irrigated agriculture in the Basin. However, a combination of climate mitigation and adaptation through changes in land and water use will allow the maintenance of agricultural water use and environmental flows.
© 2010 Canadian Agricultural Economics Society.
Keyword Water
Management
Model
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Official 2011 Collection
School of Economics Publications
 
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Created: Sun, 12 Dec 2010, 00:11:10 EST