The impact of breast and cervical cancer screening on mortality in Australia : an application of intervention analysis

Quirey, Timothy Lawrence. (2001). The impact of breast and cervical cancer screening on mortality in Australia : an application of intervention analysis Honours Thesis, School of Economics, The University of Queensland.

       
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Author Quirey, Timothy Lawrence.
Thesis Title The impact of breast and cervical cancer screening on mortality in Australia : an application of intervention analysis
School, Centre or Institute School of Economics
Institution The University of Queensland
Publication date 2001
Thesis type Honours Thesis
Total pages 105
Language eng
Subjects 14 Economics
Formatted abstract Many claims have been made in regard to the level of success and efficacy of breast and cervical screening programs within Australia and internationally. Various techniques 11ave been utilised to assess the full ramifications of introducing each screening program. Many techniques have not been adapted to this area of study. One such example that has previously been neglected is intervention analysis. Intervention analysis enables the magnitude of effects resulting from an interruption in a time series to be directly quantified. The technique draws heavily on Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) modelling and application of the Box-Jenkins methodology. An extension• of this technique allows a transfer function to be estimated to ascertain whether other factors are contributing to the effects obtained in the intervention model. The results produced outline reductions in mortality rates of between 5% and 28% within Australia as a result of the national breast and cervical screening programs enacted in 1991. The extents of these reductions in mortality indicate that the programs have been successful in reducing mortality to a certain degree. The transfer function analysis also indicates that these reductions can be directly attributed to the introduction of the screening programs.

Document type: Thesis
Collection: UQ Theses (non-RHD) - UQ staff and students only
 
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Created: Mon, 06 Dec 2010, 15:56:43 EST by Ning Jing on behalf of The University of Queensland Library