The modelling of corporate takeover in the mining and oil industries in Australia using econometric techniques

Ferguson, Jane Elizabeth. (1990). The modelling of corporate takeover in the mining and oil industries in Australia using econometric techniques Honours Thesis, School of Economics, University of Queensland.

       
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Author Ferguson, Jane Elizabeth.
Thesis Title The modelling of corporate takeover in the mining and oil industries in Australia using econometric techniques
School, Centre or Institute School of Economics
Institution University of Queensland
Publication date 1990
Thesis type Honours Thesis
Total pages 116
Language eng
Subjects 14 Economics
Formatted abstract This thesis is a statistical investigation into the development and validation of a model for predicting corporate takeover in Australia's Mining and oil industries, 1983-1985. The objective of this analysis is to make use of econometric techniques both in the selection of variables for study, and the development of a suitable model upon which prediction can be based. The Principal variable technique (a technique involving the indirect use of Principal Components Analysis) was applied to a group of ratios, resulting in the identification of six financial ratios as indicators of takeover. Both Probit and Logit models were subsequently formulated using financial data. The principal conclusion of this analysis is that the ratios, taken individually or collectively, do not provide a reliable predictive model.

 
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