The wasted vote phenomenon with uncertain voter population

Chen, Yuelan and Xia, Aihua (2010) The wasted vote phenomenon with uncertain voter population. Social Choice and Welfare, Online Online: x-x. doi:10.1007/s00355-010-0500-7

Author Chen, Yuelan
Xia, Aihua
Title The wasted vote phenomenon with uncertain voter population
Journal name Social Choice and Welfare   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0176-1714
Publication date 2010-09-04
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1007/s00355-010-0500-7
Volume Online
Issue Online
Start page x
End page x
Total pages 22
Editor Salles, Maurice
Duggan, John
Place of publication Heidelberg, Germany
Publisher Springer
Collection year 2011
Language eng
Subject 1401 Economic Theory
Formatted abstract
Palfrey (A mathematical proof of Duvergers law, 1989) shows that in large electorates with deterministic voter population, the expected equilibrium vote share of the weakest party tends to zero asymptotically. We extend this result to the uncertain case where the number of valid votes is a random variable satisfying a mild condition. Special cases include the degenerate, Poisson, binomial, and negative binomial distributions. In particular, we demonstrate that no matter how the number of valid votes fluctuates, as the probability of having a large number of valid votes approaches one, the expected equilibrium vote shares of the weak parties are asymptotically negligible.
© 2010 Springer-Verlag.

Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code
Institutional Status UQ

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: Official 2011 Collection
School of Economics Publications
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Created: Mon, 11 Oct 2010, 14:10:22 EST by Alys Hohnen on behalf of School of Economics