The Effect of Population Growth on Economic Growth: A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Macroeconomic Literature

Headey, D.D. and Hodge, A. (2009) The Effect of Population Growth on Economic Growth: A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Macroeconomic Literature. Population and Development Review, 35 2: 221-248. doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00274.x

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Author Headey, D.D.
Hodge, A.
Title The Effect of Population Growth on Economic Growth: A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Macroeconomic Literature
Journal name Population and Development Review   Check publisher's open access policy
ISSN 0098-7921
1728-4457
Publication date 2009-06-12
Year available 2009
Sub-type Article (original research)
DOI 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00274.x
Volume 35
Issue 2
Start page 221
End page 248
Total pages 28
Editor McNicoll, Geoffrey
Demeny, Paul
Churchill, Ethel
Place of publication United States
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell
Collection year 2010
Language eng
Subject C1
140202 Economic Development and Growth
Abstract Many studies have sought to gauge the impact of population growth on economic growth. A well-known stylized fact of this literature is that the estimated effects of population growth measures on economic growth are not robust, varying between being positive, negative, and insignificantly different from zero. The present study analyzes 471 statistical regressions from 29 prominent economic growth studies using meta-regression analysis to identify the effect of alternative methodologies on key population growth results. This study finds that a broad set of methodological factors explains more than half of the variation in the population growth effects observed from this literature, including the types of variables used to measure population growth, the countries selected, the time frame of the analysis, and the nature of the control variables specified. The study also yields results that have implications for policymakers, especially insofar as several policy factors seem to influence the population change–economic growth nexus. Particularly strong is the evidence in support of the increasingly adverse effects of population growth in the post-1980 period, suggesting that demographic issues should warrant greater attention than they currently receive from the policymaking community.
Q-Index Code C1
Q-Index Status Confirmed Code

Document type: Journal Article
Sub-type: Article (original research)
Collections: 2010 Higher Education Research Data Collection
School of Economics Publications
 
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Citation counts: TR Web of Science Citation Count  Cited 21 times in Thomson Reuters Web of Science Article | Citations
Scopus Citation Count Cited 25 times in Scopus Article | Citations
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Created: Thu, 03 Sep 2009, 17:58:23 EST by Mr Andrew Martlew on behalf of School of Economics